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TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152023
0300 UTC SAT OCT 07 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 111.6W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 105SE  90SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 111.6W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 111.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N 112.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.3N 113.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.9N 113.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.5N 112.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 20.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 22.5N 105.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 111.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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