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TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152023
0900 UTC FRI OCT 06 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 110.3W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 110.3W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.4N 110.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.6N 111.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.8N 112.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.1N 113.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.6N 113.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.2N 113.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.1N 111.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 20.5N 109.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 110.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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