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TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152023
2100 UTC WED OCT 04 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 108.9W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE   0SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 108.9W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.7N 109.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.1N 109.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.1N 110.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.0N 111.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.8N 112.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  60SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 16.1N 114.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 16.6N 114.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 108.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/KONARIK
 
 
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