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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142023
1500 UTC SUN SEP 24 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.9W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.9W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 123.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.2N 126.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.1N 128.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.7N 131.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.1N 133.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 13.3N 136.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.6N 140.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 10.8N 146.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 123.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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