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Tropical Storm HILARY


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092023               
1500 UTC SUN AUG 20 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
OXNARD CA      34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SANTA CRUZ IS  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LONG BEACH/LA  34 21   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
LONG BEACH/LA  50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
S CATALINA IS  34 22   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
S CATALINA IS  50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAN DIEGO CA   34 71   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
SAN DIEGO CA   50 18   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
SAN DIEGO CA   64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
YUMA AZ        34 49   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 
TIJUANA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TIJUANA        50  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
TIJUANA        64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
ENSENADA       34 95   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
ENSENADA       50 42   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
ENSENADA       64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
IS GUADALUPE   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PUNTA EUGENIA  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PUNTA EUGENIA  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
P ABREOJOS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
P PENASCO      34 48   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
30N 120W       34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               
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