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Hurricane HILARY


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092023               
0900 UTC SUN AUG 20 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
OXNARD CA      34  3   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SANTA CRUZ IS  34  3   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LONG BEACH/LA  34  8  13(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
S CATALINA IS  34 10  13(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
SAN DIEGO CA   34 34  31(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
SAN DIEGO CA   50  X  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
SAN DIEGO CA   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
YUMA AZ        34 17  15(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
TIJUANA        34 32  54(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
TIJUANA        50  X   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
TIJUANA        64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
ENSENADA       34 72  15(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
ENSENADA       50  7  38(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
ENSENADA       64  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
IS GUADALUPE   34 20   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
PUNTA EUGENIA  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PUNTA EUGENIA  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PUNTA EUGENIA  64 95   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 
P ABREOJOS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
LORETO         34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
P PENASCO      34 39   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 
BAHIA KINO     34 17   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
GUAYMAS        34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
25N 115W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
30N 120W       34  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
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