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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092023
0300 UTC SUN AUG 20 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 114.6W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......230NE 200SE 120SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 420SE 360SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 114.6W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 114.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 28.3N 115.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 170SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 33.6N 117.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.5N 118.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 114.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 20/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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