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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092023
0900 UTC SAT AUG 19 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 113.3W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......230NE 200SE 110SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 420SE 360SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 113.3W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.8N 113.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...220NE 190SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 26.2N 114.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.6N 116.0W...W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 36.4N 117.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.6N 117.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 113.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 19/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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