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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092023
0300 UTC SAT AUG 19 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 112.7W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......220NE 200SE 110SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 390SE 300SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 112.7W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 112.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.4N 113.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 110SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.2N 114.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 130SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 27.6N 115.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.1N 116.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 37.8N 117.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 112.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 19/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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