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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092023
0900 UTC FRI AUG 18 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 110.8W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 40SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......250NE 170SE 90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 330SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 110.8W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 110.4W
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.3N 112.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...250NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.2N 113.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...240NE 190SE 140SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.4N 114.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 150SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.3N 114.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...220NE 190SE 140SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 28.7N 115.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 32.9N 116.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 30SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 43.6N 117.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 110.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 18/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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