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TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082023
1500 UTC WED AUG 16 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 151.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 10SE 10SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 15SE 20SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 151.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 150.5W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.1N 153.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 10SE 10SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.2N 155.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 10SE 10SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.1N 157.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 10SE 10SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 11.8N 160.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 11.4N 163.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.1N 165.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 10.1N 170.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 151.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER M BALLARD
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