ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072023
2100 UTC SAT AUG 12 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 113.2W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 113.2W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 112.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.2N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.5N 115.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.7N 117.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.1N 119.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.6N 120.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.1N 122.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.6N 127.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 17.8N 133.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 113.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/BERG
 
 
NNNN