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TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062023
2100 UTC SAT AUG 05 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 107.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 107.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 109.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.4N 115.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.6N 118.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 25.6N 120.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 26.2N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 27.5N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 107.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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