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HURRICANE DORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052023
0300 UTC SUN AUG 06 2023
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 136.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125
KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 140W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
10N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
15N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
10N 150W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19)
10N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20)
15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) X(23) X(23)
15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
10N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) X(22)
10N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
10N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 21(30) X(30)
15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8)
15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
10N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 1(16)
10N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
10N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
15N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 4(40)
15N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15)
15N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20)
JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
10N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
10N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
15N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 50(53)
15N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23)
15N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24)
15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN
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