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HURRICANE DORA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052023
1800 UTC SAT AUG 05 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 134.2W AT 05/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 134.2W AT 05/1800Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 132.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.2N 135.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.0N 139.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.8N 143.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.5N 146.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 12.4N 150.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 12.3N 154.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 12.5N 162.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 13.5N 170.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 134.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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