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HURRICANE CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032023
2100 UTC FRI JUL 14 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 124.6W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 124.6W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 123.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.3N 126.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.1N 129.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.7N 132.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.3N 135.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.9N 138.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.4N 141.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 18.3N 149.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 19.0N 156.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 124.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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