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BULLETIN
Hurricane Beatriz Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP022023
100 AM CDT Sat Jul 01 2023
 
...CENTER OF BEATRIZ PASSES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 104.7W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Cabo Corrientes to Punta Mita Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Cabo Corrientes to Punta Mita Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
* Las Islas Marias
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere along the west-central coast of Mexico and in
the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula should monitor
the progress of this system.  Additional watches or warnings may be
required on Saturday.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beatriz was
located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 104.7 West. Beatriz is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general
motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through
tonight.  On the forecast track, the center of Beatriz is expected 
to move near or over portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico 
through this morning.  Beatriz is then expected to turn
west-northwestward and move away from the west-central coast of
Mexico later today into Sunday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are now near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Beatriz is expected to remain a hurricane this morning if 
its center remains just offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico.  
Weakening is expected later today through Monday once Beatriz 
begins to move away from west-central Mexico.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90
miles (150 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.38 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Beatriz can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/miatcdep2.shtml
 
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area through this morning.  Hurricane conditions are
possible within the hurricane watch area today.  Tropical
storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning
area today, and are possible within the tropical storm watch
areas today or tonight.
 
RAINFALL:  Through Monday, storm total rainfall of 3 to 5 inches,
with maximum amounts of 8 inches, is expected across portions of
southern and western Mexico from Michoacan northwest to Sinaloa and
Durango in association with Hurricane Beatriz.  This rainfall could
lead to localized flash flooding and mudslides.
 
STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Beatriz are forecast to spread northward
along the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next day or so.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
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