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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beatriz Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP022023
400 AM CDT Fri Jun 30 2023
 
...BEATRIZ WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST
COAST OF MEXICO...
...NEW WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF
MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 101.3W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning for the
Pacific coast of Mexico from Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes.
 
The Government of Mexico has also issued a Hurricane Watch and a
Tropical Storm Warning for the Pacific coast of Mexico north of
Cabo Corrientes to Punta Mita, and a Tropical Storm Watch for
the Pacific coast of Mexico north of Punta Mita to San Blas.
 
The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for the Pacific coast of Mexico east of Acapulco.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Cabo Corrientes to Punta Mita Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* South of Zihuatanejo to Acapulco Mexico
* North of Cabo Corrientes to Punta Mita Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere along the west-central coast of Mexico and in
the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula should
monitor the progress of this system.  Additional warnings and
watches may be required later today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beatriz was
located near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 101.3 West. Beatriz is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A continued 
northwestward motion is expected for the next few days, with a 
gradual decrease in forward speed occurring over the weekend.  On 
the forecast track, the center of Beatriz is expected to approach 
the coast of western Mexico today, then move near or over portions 
of the coast of western Mexico tonight and on Saturday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are now near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Rapid strengthening is forecast, and Beatriz is likely to 
become a hurricane later today.  Beatriz is forecast to be a 
hurricane while the center moves near or over the coast of Mexico.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
mainly to the northeast of the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Beatriz can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/miatcdep2.shtml
 
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the
hurricane warning area later today and tonight.  Hurricane
conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area on Saturday.
Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning
area starting later today, and are possible within the tropical
storm watch area on Saturday.
 
RAINFALL: Through Sunday, storm total rainfall of 3 to 5 inches,
with maximum amounts of 8 inches, is expected across southern Mexico
from Guerrero west-northwest to Nayarit from Tropical Storm Beatriz.
This rainfall could lead to localized flash flooding and mudslides.
 
STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Beatriz are forecast to build and spread
northward along the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next
couple of days.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
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