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HURRICANE BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022023
1500 UTC FRI JUN 30 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 102.3W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 102.3W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 101.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.2N 103.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.4N 105.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 20.4N 106.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.3N 107.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.7N 108.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.0N 109.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 22.6N 111.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 102.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 30/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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