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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022023
1500 UTC THU JUN 29 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  98.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  98.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  98.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 15.4N 100.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.5N 101.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.9N 103.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.3N 105.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 20.5N 106.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.4N 107.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 22.1N 109.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N 112.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  98.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 29/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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