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HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012023
0300 UTC FRI JUN 30 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 111.3W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 111.3W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 111.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.1N 112.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.6N 113.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.0N 114.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.5N 115.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.7N 116.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.7N 117.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.7N 118.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 18.6N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 111.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
 
 
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