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TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012023
2100 UTC TUE JUN 27 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  45SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.4N 107.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.4N 108.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.5N 110.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.6N 111.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 15.8N 112.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.0N 113.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 16.4N 115.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 106.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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