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Post-Tropical Cyclone Adrian Discussion Number  21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012023
200 PM PDT Sun Jul 02 2023
 
This has been no deep convection associated with Adrian for over 12 
hours, and it is doubtful that any organized convection will return. 
Therefore, Adrian is now a post-tropical remnant low and this will 
be the final NHC advisory on this system.  The initial intensity is 
lowered to 25 kt, based on satellite-estimated surface winds.  The 
remnant low should continue to gradually spin down over the cooler 
sea surface temperatures and open into a trough of low pressure 
during the next couple of days.  The NHC intensity forecast is 
similar to the previous one and close to the intensity model 
consensus.  Adrian is moving west-northwestward at about 6 kt.  The 
remnant low should make a gradual turn to the west over the next 
couple of days in the low-level flow and model guidance suggests it 
will likely open into a trough of low pressure beyond day 2.
 
This is the final NHC advisory of Adrian.  For additional
information on the remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header
NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  02/2100Z 19.9N 117.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  03/0600Z 20.2N 118.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  03/1800Z 20.3N 120.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  04/0600Z 20.3N 121.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  04/1800Z 20.2N 123.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  05/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci
 
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