ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Depression Adrian Discussion Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012023
800 AM PDT Sun Jul 02 2023
Adrian is nearly post-tropical, having produced no deep convection
for about 8 hours. Post-tropical transition will likely conclude
later today since the depression is moving over cooler waters. The
initial intensity is held at 30 kt based on the ASCAT pass mentioned
in the previous advisory. Without deep convection to sustain it,
Adrian should gradually weaken and dissipate over the next couple of
days or so. The official intensity prediction is nearly identical
to the previous one.
The tropical depression is moving west-northwestward away from the
Baja California peninsula at about 6 kt. The low-level trade winds
should slowly turn the cyclone westward over the next couple of
days. The NHC track forecast is again near the various consensus
aids and no changes of note were made from the previous advisory.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 02/1500Z 19.5N 116.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 03/0000Z 19.9N 117.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 03/1200Z 20.1N 119.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 04/0000Z 20.1N 120.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 04/1200Z 20.0N 122.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN