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HURRICANE TAMMY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023
1500 UTC SAT OCT 21 2023
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
PONCE PR 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11)
SAN JUAN PR 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
VIEQUES PR 34 2 3( 5) 5(10) 3(13) 4(17) 1(18) X(18)
SAINT THOMAS 34 2 5( 7) 9(16) 4(20) 5(25) 1(26) X(26)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT JOHN 34 2 7( 9) 10(19) 5(24) 4(28) 1(29) X(29)
SAINT JOHN 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT JOHN 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT CROIX 34 2 4( 6) 5(11) 3(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 11 60(71) 4(75) 1(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 1 33(34) 4(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X 13(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
SABA 34 11 35(46) 3(49) 2(51) 1(52) 1(53) X(53)
SABA 50 1 11(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
SABA 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 26 33(59) 3(62) 1(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64)
ST EUSTATIUS 50 2 16(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
ST EUSTATIUS 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 49 21(70) 2(72) 1(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 4 20(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BARBUDA 34 93 7(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BARBUDA 50 47 44(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
BARBUDA 64 10 44(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
ANTIGUA 34 97 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
ANTIGUA 50 65 11(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
ANTIGUA 64 12 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
GUADELOUPE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GUADELOUPE 50 75 X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) 1(76)
GUADELOUPE 64 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
AVES 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
DOMINICA 34 25 2(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
MARTINIQUE 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT LUCIA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT VINCENT 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN
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