Hurricane TAMMY

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HURRICANE TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202023
0300 UTC TUE OCT 24 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  63.1W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  63.1W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  63.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.6N  62.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 24.7N  60.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.5N  59.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 28.5N  58.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 130SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 30.0N  58.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 140SE 140SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 31.1N  59.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 130SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 32.0N  62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 32.5N  64.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  63.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
 
 
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