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HURRICANE TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202023
0900 UTC SUN OCT 22 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  62.3W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  62.3W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N  62.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.8N  63.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.9N  63.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.7N  63.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.2N  62.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.8N  61.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 26.0N  61.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 29.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  62.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 22/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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