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TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202023
0300 UTC FRI OCT 20 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  57.1W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE  90SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  57.1W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  56.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.3N  58.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.3N  59.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.6N  61.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.7N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 24.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 28.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  57.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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