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TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202023
1500 UTC THU OCT 19 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  55.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE  30SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  55.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  55.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 14.0N  57.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.8N  59.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N  60.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N  62.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N  62.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.5N  63.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 24.0N  62.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 28.4N  57.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  55.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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