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TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182023
0900 UTC FRI SEP 29 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  46.6W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  30SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  46.6W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  46.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.3N  47.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.8N  48.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.4N  49.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.1N  51.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.0N  52.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.3N  54.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 28.1N  55.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  46.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
 
 
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