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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0300 UTC FRI OCT 06 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  66.0W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  66.0W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  66.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 30.5N  65.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 33.6N  65.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 36.7N  66.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 40.5N  66.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 45.7N  69.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 240SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 49.5N  73.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 300SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N  66.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 06/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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