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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
2100 UTC THU OCT 05 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  66.2W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  66.2W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  66.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.2N  65.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 32.5N  65.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 35.5N  66.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 39.0N  66.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 43.8N  66.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 48.6N  71.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 300SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  66.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 06/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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