ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0900 UTC THU OCT 05 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  65.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  65.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  65.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.7N  66.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 170SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 30.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 33.3N  66.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 36.7N  66.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  80SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 40.2N  66.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...230NE 210SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 45.2N  67.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...220NE 220SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 50.5N  76.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N  65.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
NNNN