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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0300 UTC THU OCT 05 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  66.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  66.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  66.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 25.4N  66.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.4N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 31.9N  65.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 35.3N  66.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 39.0N  66.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 43.3N  67.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 51.6N  73.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  66.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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