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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
2100 UTC WED OCT 04 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  65.9W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  65.9W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  65.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 24.0N  66.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.6N  66.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.8N  65.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 33.3N  65.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 36.9N  65.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE  60SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 40.9N  65.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 50.5N  69.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N  65.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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