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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0300 UTC TUE OCT 03 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  62.1W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  62.1W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  61.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.4N  62.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.7N  63.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.3N  64.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.0N  64.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.8N  64.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.9N  64.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 31.6N  62.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 36.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  62.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 03/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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