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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
1500 UTC SUN OCT 01 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  58.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 135SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  58.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  58.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.1N  60.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.9N  61.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N  62.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.3N  62.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.0N  62.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 25.8N  61.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 29.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  58.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 01/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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