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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0900 UTC SAT SEP 30 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  55.9W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 200 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  55.9W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  55.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.9N  56.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.9N  56.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.3N  57.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.0N  58.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.2N  59.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.7N  59.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 24.1N  59.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 28.1N  56.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N  55.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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