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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0300 UTC SAT SEP 30 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  55.8W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 220 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  55.8W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  55.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.3N  56.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.2N  56.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.3N  56.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.8N  57.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.7N  58.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.2N  58.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 23.4N  58.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 27.3N  57.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  55.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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