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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
1500 UTC FRI SEP 29 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  55.3W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  30SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  55.3W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  55.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.1N  55.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.8N  55.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.4N  56.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.3N  56.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.5N  56.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.4N  57.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 21.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 26.1N  57.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  55.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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