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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0900 UTC WED SEP 27 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  52.7W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 170SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  52.7W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  52.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.4N  54.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.1N  55.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.6N  57.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.6N  58.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.5N  60.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.4N  62.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 19.0N  64.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 19.0N  66.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  52.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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