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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
1500 UTC TUE SEP 26 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  50.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  50.3W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  49.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.9N  51.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.9N  53.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.8N  55.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.7N  56.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.2N  58.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.2N  59.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 21.2N  62.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 21.3N  65.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  50.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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