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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0900 UTC TUE SEP 26 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  49.0W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE  30SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  49.0W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  48.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.2N  50.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 130SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.1N  52.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.1N  53.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N  55.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.6N  56.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.9N  58.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 21.8N  60.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 21.8N  63.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  49.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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