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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
1500 UTC MON SEP 25 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  45.5W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  45.5W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  44.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.6N  47.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.1N  49.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.9N  51.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.9N  52.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.1N  54.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  70SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 22.1N  55.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  70SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 23.7N  56.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 24.6N  57.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  45.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/KONARIK
 
 
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