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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0300 UTC MON SEP 25 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  43.3W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  45SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  43.3W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  42.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.6N  45.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.1N  47.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.5N  49.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.3N  51.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.4N  52.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.6N  54.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 23.4N  55.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 25.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N  43.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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