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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
2100 UTC SUN SEP 24 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  42.5W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  42.5W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  42.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.3N  44.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.8N  46.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.2N  48.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.8N  50.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.7N  52.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 21.0N  53.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 23.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 25.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  42.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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