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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
0300 UTC SUN SEP 24 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  40.9W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  40.9W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  40.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.5N  42.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.9N  44.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.3N  47.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.7N  49.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.4N  50.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.3N  52.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 21.2N  53.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 23.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N  40.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
 
 
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