ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162023
2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLIP NY 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 2 12(14) 6(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 1 9(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
NEWARK NJ 34 1 12(13) 6(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
TRENTON NJ 34 6 18(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 3 16(19) 9(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 3 14(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
PHILADELPHIA 34 18 19(37) 3(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 53 4(57) 4(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
BALTIMORE MD 34 57 3(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
DOVER DE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 96 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
WASHINGTON DC 34 85 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WALLOPS CDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
RICHMOND VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NORFOLK NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
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