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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162023
0300 UTC SAT SEP 23 2023
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
DOVER DE 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 6( 6) 9(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 6( 6) 9(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 6 8(14) 7(21) 7(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 11 10(21) 5(26) 6(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 3 17(20) 11(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
WALLOPS CDA 34 17 18(35) 5(40) 3(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 10(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
RICHMOND VA 34 13 38(51) 6(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
DANVILLE VA 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NORFOLK NAS 34 59 20(79) X(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
NORFOLK VA 34 68 14(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 75 12(87) X(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
RALEIGH NC 34 21 12(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
ROCKY MT NC 34 86 4(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
ROCKY MT NC 50 2 12(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 37 2(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHERRY PT NC 50 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SURF CITY NC 50 62 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
SURF CITY NC 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 50 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LITTLE RIVER 34 66 X(66) X(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 30 X(30) X(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN
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