Hurricane NIGEL

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HURRICANE NIGEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152023
0300 UTC WED SEP 20 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  54.7W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 240SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  54.7W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  54.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 35.3N  54.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 38.4N  51.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 41.6N  46.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 140SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 44.4N  39.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 47.5N  31.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 210SE 170SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 50.8N  25.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 170SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 57.1N  22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 58.9N  21.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N  54.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
 
 
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